i cracked up this morning thinking about national party luninaries/supporters choking over their cornflakes at the thought of winston peters as their illustrious leader..
( david farrar, who is a tory blogger,on his eponymous site, claims any number of disgruntled members would lob handgrenades into the caucus room rather than see that..)
though i would note that these fanciful musings are more the result of wide-spread acceptance of the upcoming collapse of national party support (that will be the big story of this election..the decimation of the ‘born to rule’ party)..and has moved onto musing about possible scenarios..
we should now be focussing on where those former national party votes will go..
i’m picking the greens will pick up support from a lot of blue-green nats..(building on my thesis that not all national party voters/supporters are environmental visigoths)..this is part of my rationale for calling the greens as coming in in the low-mid teens..
a lot of those blue-green nats won’t want to waste their vote on brash and while they may still give electorate support to the nat candidate..many will give their party vote to the greens…even if only because nothing else makes sense for them..
and despite the ongoing hysterical labelling of the greens by many on local rightwing websites i contend that fringe-dweller tag no longer applys to the greens..they are firmly in place as part of the political landscape, and no longer scare anywhere near as many horses as they used to..
peters, of course, will soak up some/a lot(?) of nationals’ reactionary redkneck members..once they get their heads around the fact national under brash haven’t got a snowballs chance they’ll bail out..and peters is their natural home..
act will also get back into parliament piggybacking on this collapse of national suport..the closet actites in national will ensure that..
national will still be a significant player in parliament, but will have to undergo that long overdue re-evaluation/re-branding exercise..and i’m picking that will include the acceptance of many green environmental values/concerns..of course, this will be especially potent for them if the green party continues to ghettoise itself as a handmaiden for labour…
so, all in all, it’s a bit of a black monday for those at nat h.q.
their main task this election will be to try and stem the flow..and to look to the future as to what the national party has to become..