one thing we can be sure of..that is that the national party (and act) will be going into the next election campaign in full-woo mode with the maori party…
this has already started…(note brashs’ backtrack on treaty settlment timetables/imperatives..and hides’ murmurings..)
this campaign by the right for the maori party vote/support should be of concern to labour..(and it is difficult to see a clark-led labour restoring that former close (albeit selective and exploitive) relationship labour had with maori…this alone..given the make-or-break of the maori partys’ possibly up to ten seats next time out..could be enough reason for those in labour to consider rolling their leader..)
in pooh-poohing such warnings about any future concerns about the loss of maori support…labour will cite the high party vote labour got last time out….
but this support for labour came because of the (rational) fear amongst maori of a brash-brand mutation of national taking power..and what that could/would mean for maori…
but..given what we already know about the charm-fest underway..it will be a different national next time out..(from the maori perspective..and yet another reason to roll brash..as if there weren’t already more reasons to do just that…than you can poke a stick at..)
so that party-vote certainty for labour could well not be there….and with that loss of support will come the opposition benches for labour…(you can’t really see a peterless nz first and a dunning whatever-they-are-called doing that well in 08..eh..?..)
in a twist fans of irony will enjoy…labour next time out could welll find themselves in the position national was last time..friendless..and because of that..on the outer…
(which ..of course..will give labour the time to rue their decision to go with their version of shipleys’ last tragic mix of uneasy bedfellows…
and for their leader not to have swallowed her (false?) pride…and to have worked with turia and sharples…and of course the greens……and given that mix the time to mesh and build into a proven/potent governing mix…
imho..clark is fast defining herself as ‘the waster’…the waster (during a time of abundance) of opportunities to build a strong centre-left government..and society….
clark is also the waster of oft-trumpeted long-held labour party ideas/ideals..
to defend this statment all one has to do is look to the poorest in our society…the sole parents etc etc…and note how a labour government in its’s third term has done nothing to repair the inequities wreaked upon the weakest/poorest in our society by the shiply/richardson gutting of the social welfare system..
labour have not lifted a finger to help to restore some dignity to those lives..(the cheque for the social cost of we have yet to cash)..yet cries crocodile tears (and throws money at) the couple struggling(!) in taumarunui on 55 grand a year..
give us all a fucken break here ..eh..?..
the whirlwind labour are to inherit is entirely of their own doing….
they have betrayed virtually every labour ideal..and would be some grotesque caricature/mutation of labour to those who came before..and on who’se shoulders these midgets stand…
the upcoming woes for labour are echoed to a certain degree for the greens…
‘cos personally i see the possibility in the future of the spawn of labour…the maori party and the greens…devouring their host….
the greens by promoting/fighting for those social ideals labour has long abandoned…(and that have hurt maori more than most..)
and the maori party..also supporting similar ideals…mopping up much of the other ‘thinking vote’..
but herin lies the quandry for the greens..that is that they have long avowed that they would never allow national to darken their doorstep..
so..what do the greens do if the maori party is not only allowing national to darken its’ doorstep..but has pulled out the chair at the kitchen table..?
will/would the greens turn their backs on a chance of working with the maori party in a grouping that included a re-vamped greened-up maori friendly national party..?
and if so..on what grounds..?…
would any offer to coalesce (no matter how attractive and green that offer may be) be rebuffed…?
and would that rebuttal just be because of the strongly left party mp’s/leadership…?.(a certainty not present/shared in as many of their voters/supporters as they may imagine…)
this is a very serious issue/problem for the greens..and they need to get their heads around it now….not in two and a half years time…when the problem could well arise…and for just the first time…
(another unforseen result/outcome from mmp..eh..?..the loss of those left/right certainties..?….and yet another one for the fans of irony out there..given rod was one of the main movers for mmp..and this is about to bite the greens in the bum…)
the failure to address it could be fatal for the greens..there are many green voters/supporters who would punish the party at the ballott box for such an intransigent attitude..
and for pissing away any possible opportunity to make a real difference/progress on green issues/concerns..
this peril for the greens…which i call ‘ideological ring-fencing’..could..if not sorted..see their stars wane….along with labours…
the greens have got to get their heads around their supposed (cliched?) mantra…’neither left nor right..but out in front..’
time to walk the talk…eh..?..or face being fatally ‘ring-fenced’..
het-tip..david farrar for pointing me at the mc carten article that kick-started the above….