I worked with the former FBI director for 12 years.
Here’s what to know about how he’ll approach the Donald Trump and Russia investigation.
To uncover just how far the Russian operation got Mueller will focus his team.
He’ll go after the lower-level or lower-ranking guys like George Papadopoulos.
He’ll also use the strategy of following the money.
In the next weeks and months you’ll see more indictments.
You’re going to see wire fraud.
You’re going to see mail fraud.
You’re going to see violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act.
You’re also going to see other charges.
Moving money around countries to avoid taxes and criminal prosecution are the kinds of violations we saw continuously while I was working counterintelligence and espionage investigations.
A lot of those crimes carry 20-year prison sentences or more for a single violation.
Which is why so many people are going to flip and roll over and testify for Mueller.
Hard-core criminals aren’t going to talk.
You can tell them you’re going to put them in jail for 100 years but they don’t care.
Professional hard-core spies are not going to talk because the foreign country they work for is going to retaliate or potentially kill family members left behind in their country.
But when you talk about people who are used to spending nearly $1 million in three years on business suits out of a place in Cyprus – those guys are not going to do 25 years in jail.
It doesn’t matter who they are going to roll over on – there’s no way Manafort is going to do 25 years in jail if he can avoid it.
He can’t last.
I would be greatly surprised if Papadopoulos is the only person who’s been cooperating with Mueller.
Knowing the way we worked all these other very sophisticated cases for him – he potentially has other informants.
And when the people who may be cooperating with the investigation start consensually recording conversations – it’s all over.