(ed: i feel the main reason for the surge in popularity for labour/ardern is because labour seem to have done a semi-pivot from the neoliberal-incrementalism so favoured by labour leaders from lange to little..to a form of democratic-socialism/old-school labour (the same thing ..really..)
and this means that labour have delivered policies promising some real change/addressing of the issues that bedevil us – not least of these our deteriorating environment and poverty/inequality – and this for labour the first time for a long time..
this pivot – and of course the widespread desire for a generational-change – plus of course the appeal ardern has to so many soft tory voters – women especially – these are what explain the brexiting of the new zealand political landscape..not brexit itself..)
The keystone shift – former Green Party co-leader Metiria Turei’s explosive welfare gambit – jolted the centre-left first one way then another and now it seems there are signs that the entire political ground is shifting.
If the poll is correct Labour has passed National as the most popular party – with Labour’s vote the highest it has recorded in the Colmar Brunton poll for 11 years.
Some point to Brexit as the beginning of a contagion of wild populism and volatility that has upturned everything – everywhere – anywhere voters get the chance to humble their elites.
It has spread across election contests in North America and Europe and it has destabilised old verities.
Now it has descended upon New Zealand where leaders are falling like flies and everything is upside down.