It is not clear what the agreement will be but it is clear that there will be an agreement.
That means Paris can be declared a success.
Of course Paris was condemned to succeed.
The ignominy that was Copenhagen (COP15, 2009) was never to be its destiny.
That meant getting to an agreement – any agreement.
Now that such an agreement is in sight there is a palpable sigh of relief.
Now is a good time to ask just how meaningful (or not) any given Paris agreement will be.
Here are 10 questions I will be using as a yardstick.
They will be my guide to exactly what we are celebrating and how much we should celebrate.
Given the science – the experience of a quarter century of climate talks and all the promises made in the past three years – an ideal agreement should garner 10 “yes” responses.
I however will be happy with anything that gets at least five.
Anything less I think will not be worth the carbon cost of everything that has gone into the process.