The predictions are slightly better for Republicans if Cruz is the nominee but not as close as they’d prefer.
Trump however will have the most votes and the most delegates going in to the convention.
If someone else is the nominee it will be because party elites thwarted the will of their own voters.
In that case the revolt alone would likely cost Republicans the White House.
Establishment Republicans are well aware of these numbers and that’s why they’re scrambling more and more to stop Trump.
The truth though is that there isn’t a solution to the Trump problem that doesn’t include a loss in November.