Professor Jim Flynn’s explosive yet short book on climate change has a short message: we need to pull up our socks.
But it’s at Chapter Five: Predictions when I find my morning takeaway coffee cup crumpling in my hand.
There are several scenarios in this chapter.
All of them are bad.
Flynn suspects the sea will rise by at least eight metres by 2100 and temperatures by around four degrees.
And this is just the beginning.
Warming will be by then impossible to reverse.
Napier – Hastings – Blenheim and much of Invercargill – the low-lying neighbourhoods of Christchurch Timaru and Dunedin – half of Nelson and a third of Auckland would be underwater.
In terms of climate the South Island will be more like the North Island is today and the North Island more like Fiji he says – although there is yet no adequate projection let alone plan for a temperature rise this high in New Zealand.